The dynamics of eruption clouds will be analyzed and modeled
using satellite images, atmospheric wind fields, and the Puff
tracking model. Satellite images will be used as the control element
to which model predictions will be compared. The influence of
wind fields, physical variables and eruption conditions will be
evaluated and compared to improve the accuracy and the types of
information that can be derived from tracking models. Experiments
will be conducted using a variety of wind fields as input to the
Puff tracking model to evaluate their effect on predicting the
location and shape of the clouds. The sensitivity of variables
internal to the tracking model, such as dispersion and grain size,
and a variety of eruption conditions will also be evaluated. The
analyses will use selected data of historical volcanic eruptions
where satellite and gridded wind field data are available (1980
- present), that exemplify a variety of eruption and environmental
conditions. In addition, the capability of the new hyperspectral
satellite data will be evaluated and compared to presently available
data to improve the characterization of eruption clouds and to
further "tune" the models. We anticipate that this project will
provide insight into the elements that control or influence the
movement and prediction of eruption clouds and will improve existing
tracking models.