Investigating the potential of satellite remote sensing data for monitoring the surface temperature regime of permafrost terrain
Climate change scenarios predict that global warming will be greatest over high latitudes and that permafrost (or perennially frozen ground - soil frozen for more then two years) areas will be among the regions most heavily affected. One important parameter that controls the ground thermal regime in permafrost areas is the surface heat balance. Satellite remote sensing provides a mean of mapping/monitoring the surface heat balance at the spatial and temporal resolutions required for regional - to continental -scale permafrost investigations. In this project we summarize the results of a comparison between the MODIS land surface temperature (LST) daily global 1km product from Terra and air/near-surface ground temperature measurements from permafrost sites in northern Canada. Results from a tundra site in northern Quebec, Canada (Salluit - 2 stations SILA and TILI fours, and Kangiqsualujjuaq -1 station) show an excellent match between LST values extracted from MODIS pixeis centered on these sites and those measured at the stations for two full annual cycles (2002 and 2003). The site where the SILA station is located is covered with glacial till and moss vegetation. Barren rock is situated. At the SILA and TIKI stations, weather conditions are very windy so there is no snow accumulation during winter in the vicinity of the stations. The best correlation we obtained is between Surface Temperature of MODIS (LST) and Maximum Daily Air Temperature (MDAT), r = 0.97, at SILA and 0.86 - at TIKI. Using Maximum Ground Temperature, the correlation is still excellent at 2 cm (SILA) and 5 cm (TIKI) below the ground surface, with r = 0.96 and 0.90, respectively. Often, ground temperature is not recorded at stations but only air temperature. This is the case at the Kangiqsualujjuaq station where the mean daily air temperature is still well correlated with LST (r = 0.94) while those for SILA and TIKI are r = 0.96 and r = 0.85 respectively. In those cases, the difference is only 1 - 2 °C at the 95% confidence interval.
Currently, we are comparing the MODIS-derived LST products from Terra and Aqua with field measurements from other sites in northern Canada and Alaska representing varying degrees of landscape heterogeneity(e.g. barren, dry/moist/wet/tundra, open forest near tree line). This will allow us to determine how snow, vegetation, and moisture conditions can change the strength of the relationship between the satellite-based measurement (1 km² pixel) and that recorded in the fields.
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